A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Tom Westbrook, Chief Correspondent

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

After a few weeks buying the rumour of U.S.-China de-escalation, markets gave a lukewarm welcome to news that the countries' top trade officials will meet in Geneva at the weekend.

 

Today's Market News

  • US, China to hold ice-breaker trade talks in Geneva on Saturday
  • India strikes Pakistan over Kashmir tourist killings
  • Conservative Merz elected German chancellor after initial debacle
  • What's in the UK-India trade deal?
  • Intesa CEO says no value in joining Italian M&A 'big mess'
 

China's guarded response

U.S. and Chinese flags are seen in this illustration taken March 20, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo 

It all sounds very preliminary. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News that Saturday's meeting would be about working out what to talk about.

"My sense is this will be about de-escalation," he said. But the Chinese side was guarded, citing a proverb in its statement.

"There is an old Chinese saying: Listen to what is said, and watch what is done...if (the U.S.) says one thing but then does another, or attempts to use talks as a cover to continue coercion and blackmail, China will never agree."

Still, it lifted U.S. futures and they held most of their gains through the Asia day, while Hong Kong stocks jumped.

China also flagged interest rate cuts and expanded a channel for directing insurers' money into the stock market - cheered by investors, although a bit half-heartedly, because the fiscal spending they so desire is still absent.

 

Fed decision looms

The action filled in the waiting hours before the Federal Reserve meeting, where no policy change is expected but markets will be trying to gauge policymakers' sensitivity to jobs and inflation.

Markets pared back expectations of future cuts as data on Friday showed the labor market, for now, is holding up.

India's rupee weakened slightly on the dollar as the worst fighting in more than two decades erupted between India and Pakistan.

Asian currencies eased after a few sessions of surging against the U.S. dollar.

Mostly second-tier data is due in Europe through the day, though there are earnings out at healthcare multinational Fresenius and drugmaker Novo Nordisk.

 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

  • US Federal Reserve meeting
 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

 

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