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India and Pakistan are dangerously close to another full-scale war. Given the bitter rivals are both nuclear-armed, this could be devastating for the world.
Foreign policy expert Ian Hall says the neighbours have had skirmishes in recent years, but pulled back from the brink of war.
This conflict could be different. As Hall explains, the United States and others have been less willing to get involved in the nations’ disputes in recent years. Yesterday Donald Trump called India’s strikes on Pakistan a “shame” – hardly forceful rhetoric.
And the domestic political costs for both sides not responding to attacks by the other are substantial. Neither government can afford to look weak.
So how does this play out? Hall says the hope is limited military action, followed by rapid de-escalation. But there are no guarantees.
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Justin Bergman
International Affairs Editor
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Ian Hall, Griffith University
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Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research
Parkville, Melbourne, Australia
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