A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Rocky Swift, Correspondent

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

The European theatre of World War II ended 80 years ago today, a sombre reminder as armed conflict still rages on the continent while another one threatens to ignite between nuclear powers in South Asia.

 

Today's Market News

  • US, Britain to announce trade deal on Thursday, New York Times says
  • Ukraine's cities quiet as Kremlin-sponsored ceasefire kicks in
  • Cardinals set for second day of conclave to elect a new pope
  • Fed sees rising risks to economy as it leaves rates unchanged
  • Trump administration to rescind and replace Biden-era global AI chip export curbs
 

Ice-breaker trade talks in focus

A China Shipping container is seen at the port of Oakland, as trade tensions escalate over U.S. tariffs with China, in Oakland, California, U.S., April 10, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo

To accommodate a moment of silence in honour of Victory in Europe (VE) Day, the Bank of England is delaying its policy announcement by two minutes to 1102 GMT. The BoE is expected to continue its gradual pace of rate cuts that have come more slowly than those by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which stood pat yesterday in the face of inflation and recession fears.

A different sort of world war, between U.S. President Donald Trump and practically all of America's trade partners, looked marginally cooler ahead of ice-breaker talks between Washington and Beijing trade tsars this weekend. Chinese blue chips and Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.75% and 1.1%, respectively, on hopes the negotiations will bring down retaliatory tariffs of more than 100% with the U.S.

 And equity futures in European and U.S. markets turned higher after Trump posted that he will hold a press conference today about a trade deal with a "BIG, AND HIGHLY RESPECTED, COUNTRY. THE FIRST OF MANY!!!."

But the New York Times says the "big" country is Britain, a possibility previously flagged by analysts. UK stock futures and sterling climbed in Asia trade.

 

Demand for defensive assets resilient

North Korea lobbed missiles into the ocean again, and Pakistan vowed retaliation for an Indian air strike, which was itself retaliation for an attack by Islamist militants last month. Stock markets in Asia weathered the drama, continuing anaemic gains seen on Wall Street after the Fed.
    But steeper advances in gold and Bitcoin signalled resilient demand for defensive assets.

 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

  • European earnings: Siemens Energy
  • US earnings: Shopify, ConocoPhillips, Warner Bros Discovery
  • Germany trade, industrial production (March)
  • BoE policy decision
  • US weekly jobless claims
  • $25 billion auction of US 30-year bonds
  • Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem speaks
 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

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