Marketscreener : Weekly market update
Weekly market updateWeekly market update
Friday 1 August 2025
No August break for tariffs
European markets ended the week on a sour note, dragged down by weak corporate earnings and a barrage of tariffs announced by the White House—35% on Canada, 50% on Brazil, and 39% on Switzerland. The new trade barriers will take effect in a week, leaving room for last-minute negotiations and keeping volatility high across the indexes. August is shaping up to be a hot one!
Weekly variations*
DOW JONES INDUST...
43,588.58  -2.92%
Chart DOW JONES INDUST...
NASDAQ 100
22,763.31  -2.19%
Chart NASDAQ 100
FTSE 100
9,068.58  -0.57%
Chart FTSE 100
GOLD
$3,362.28  +0.86%
Chart GOLD
WTI
$67.1  +2.83%
Chart WTI
EURO / US DOLLAR
$1.16  -1.36%
Chart EURO / US DOLLAR
This week's gainers and losers

Tops:

ArgenX +15.91%: The Belgian biotech nearly doubled its revenue and boosted net profit from €29 million to €245 million year over year. It plans to advance five molecules to Phase 3 by 2030.

Carvana +10.74%: The used-car retailer continues its remarkable comeback, hitting an all-time high. The company outperformed already ambitious expectations, and its potential growth levers keep fueling the valuation.

Roblox +5.23%: The platform surpassed 100 million daily active users for the first time. The challenge now is attracting an older audience that spends more. Both time spent and spending per user are rising sharply.

BBVA +10.17%: The Spanish bank plans to boost profits and shareholder returns over the 2025-2028 period.

Danone +8.57%: Strong demand in China for infant formula and medical nutrition products helped the group beat second-quarter expectations.

Rolls-Royce +8.98%: The British aerospace engineering group raised its full-year profit outlook on Thursday. Longer engine usage times drove improved profitability.

Société Générale +6.01%: The rebound in retail banking allowed Société Générale to raise its 2025 guidance.

Meta +5.24%: Despite higher capital expenditures in 2025, Meta exceeded Wall Street expectations and raised its targets. AI integration should further boost ad revenues.

Microsoft +2.02%: The Redmond giant impressed the market by disclosing Azure’s annual revenue for the first time: $75 billion, up 39% from Q2 2024. Growth is driven by AI solutions, partnerships with OpenAI, xAI, Meta, and Mistral, and enhancements to Copilot. The stock briefly crossed a $4 trillion market cap.

Flops:

Align -33.59%: The Invisalign leader scrapped its annual growth forecast (3.5–5.5%). That makes it a fifth straight year without growth. Demand is falling as patients delay elective treatments in a tough economy. Align is preparing a restructuring with job cuts, more automation, and a shift to regionalized production to cut costs and limit tariff impacts.

Novo Nordisk -31.7%: The Danish drugmaker tumbled after cutting its annual forecast again—the second downgrade in a few months. Its duopoly with Eli Lilly is tipping in favor of the U.S. firm, whose drugs Zepbound and Mounjaro are outperforming Wegovy and Ozempic. The market also fears looming patent expirations for semaglutide in 2026, a surge in counterfeits, and potential political headwinds in the U.S. One bright spot: FDA approval for Alhemo, designed to prevent or reduce bleeding episodes.

Teleperformance -23.93%: The call center operator was hit hard after weak growth, a 14% drop in net income, and skepticism about returns on its AI investments.

UPS -18.4%: The delivery giant reported slightly weaker-than-expected quarterly results and still refuses to issue full-year guidance. Trade tensions with China, the end of tariff exemptions for small parcels, and a 34.8% drop in Amazon volumes (May–June) are creating heavy pressure. Only the international segment is holding up. To cope, UPS is accelerating restructuring efforts (site closures, massive job cuts) amid a highly uncertain macro environment.

Adidas -15.93%: Despite a strong first half and reaffirmed annual targets, management struck a cautious tone for the coming months. The sportswear brand expects a tougher second half, squeezed by expected U.S. tariff hikes on Vietnamese and Indonesian production (its two main sourcing countries) and a currency headwind of about €300 million.

Ferrari -13.97%: The Italian marque slumped after its half-year results. Revenue missed consensus by just 1%, but its order book remains full for two years. No upgrade to annual guidance, but Ferrari maintains its usual prudence and has levers (accelerated limited-series deliveries, controlled price hikes) to manage growth. The brand operates in a market largely immune to economic cycles and is preparing to launch new models next year.

Amazon -7.21%: Unlike peers Microsoft and Alphabet, its cloud growth fell short of expectations last quarter, and the stock was punished.

Chart Commodities
Commodities

Energy: Oil prices climbed this week, with two near-term milestones in sight: the upcoming OPEC meeting and Trump’s ultimatum to Russia. The cartel meets this weekend to decide on the production hike scheduled for September. If the increase aligns with expectations, OPEC+ should boost supply by 548,000 barrels per day for the month. At the same time, Trump has given Russia a 10-day deadline to strike a peace deal with Ukraine or face new sanctions and hefty secondary tariffs—up to 100%—on trade partners importing Russian oil. Indian refiners, in particular, are concerned about the sustainability of their Russian crude imports. However, Middle Eastern crude could replace Russian supplies, easing fears of a potential shortage in Asia. Brent is trading at $71.65 a barrel, compared to $69.40 for WTI.

Metals: Missed! The 50% U.S. tariffs won’t hit copper itself but semi-finished products. Refined copper imports remain exempt for now, prompting an adjustment in prices in London, where spot copper trades lower at $9,611 per ton. Gold remains strong at $3,350, supported by easing bond yields at the end of the week. Recent U.S. jobs data strengthened bets on a potential Fed rate cut in September, driving gold prices higher today.

Agricultural products: The mood is gloomy in Chicago for soybeans, wheat, and corn, all sticking to a downward trend. Broadly, grain prices remain under pressure due to abundant supply, raising the risk of oversupply. September 2025 wheat futures are trading around 518 cents per bushel.

Chart Commodities
Macroeconomics
Macro: The macro picture finally took center stage. Buried under earnings reports, economic data had little impact on markets earlier in the week. In the U.S., second-quarter GDP rebounded more strongly than expected, while inflation continues its upswing. Even Wednesday’s Fed meeting—and Jerome Powell’s more hawkish tone—triggered only mild market moves. It wasn’t until Friday’s jobs report that markets truly reacted to macro data. Downward revisions to job creation for May and June cast doubt on labor market strength. On the trade front, Donald Trump confirmed new tariffs for each country, in line with his August 1 deadline. However, these measures won’t take effect until the 7th, setting the stage for another week of negotiations.

Crypto: After hitting a new record of $123,000 in July, Bitcoin (BTC) has pulled back more than 3% this week, hovering around $115,000. It’s a natural breather after four straight months of gains: +14% in April, +11% in May, +2.4% in June, and +8% in July—a total climb of about 40% over the period. Despite the slight dip, enthusiasm remains strong for Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Since April, these products have attracted $16.8 billion in net inflows, pushing total assets to a record $152 billion. The rally isn’t limited to Bitcoin. Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, has more than doubled since April, jumping from $1,780 to nearly $3,700. This surge has fueled Spot Ethereum ETFs, which saw over $5 billion in net inflows in July alone. All this momentum comes against a backdrop of increasingly favorable political and regulatory conditions for crypto, particularly in the United States.

Historical Chart
July wrapped up with a downpour of corporate earnings, a flurry of macro data, and yet another wave of tariff hikes—keeping the weather metaphor alive. Next week, the macro agenda will ease up, but earnings season remains in full swing. In the U.S., reports are expected from Berkshire Hathaway, Palantir, AMD, Walt Disney, Eli Lilly, and Costco. In Europe, all eyes will be on BP, Siemens Energy, Commerzbank, Allianz, Rheinmetall, and Infineon.

On the trade front, the tariff saga continues. The measures announced by the Trump administration this week are set to take effect next Friday—though more twists could still be ahead.

The MarketScreener team wishes you a strong start to August.
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